The Increasing Number of Infected in Victoria, Australia since June 15, 2020, is the Result of Over-Testing and Over-Controlling without Safety

Abstract

On June 15, the Victorian government was rocketed by a corruption scandal, and the government started the search for more Covid19 cases, by increasing the number of tests per day, and by focusing the testing on the more disadvantaged suburbs of Melbourne, where more cases were expected. By over-testing and then over-controlling, the percentage of positive cases over-tested that was initially about constant at everything but worrying values of 0.1 to 0.2%, i.e. 1 to 2 over 1,000, has dramatically increased, by a factor of 10, now approaching 2%. Apart from mass testing knocking doors after doors of single-family homes, one potentially infected family after the other, with entire public buildings looked down, and all the occupants prevented from leaving the building and mass tested, a sample wrong indication is for people feeling sick to reach a hospital possibly moving by public transport within a 5 million people city, to get tested after having queued and then returning home. We predicted since the early days after June 15 that this strategy could have brought to the first real dangerous outbreak of Covid19 in Australia, and this is exactly what they have achieved.